According to a recent survey, there is a tie between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in a crucial state. This comes as a surprise, as the former president had previously held a lead of almost ten percentage points.
According to a WDIV-TV survey for Detroit News conducted after President Biden declared he would not seek reelection in 2024, both Trump and Harris have 41% support in Michigan. Meanwhile, 6% of Michigan voters are still undecided.
In January, Trump was ahead of Biden by 8 points in the state, according to a survey. However, the recent polling results show a significant change in support.
“The polling results bring us as close as close can be,” stated Richard Czuba, founder of Glengariff, emphasizing the significance of the data.
According to a recent poll conducted after Biden’s withdrawal, Harris is inching closer to Trump.
On July 18, Kamala Harris, the Vice President, delivered a speech at Westover High School in Fayetteville, North Carolina. Allison Joyce captured the moment in a photograph.
According to Czuba, 10% of the participants have expressed their support for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the Natural Law Party candidate for the state. He believes that this support could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the election.
President Trump wasted no time in trying to define Senator Kamala Harris as a far-left candidate, claiming that she is even more left-leaning than Bernie Sanders. This comes shortly after Harris was announced as Joe Biden’s running mate for the 2020 Presidential Election. Trump’s attempts to paint Harris as an extremist are part of his campaign strategy to appeal to moderate and conservative voters. With the election only a few months away, it remains to be seen how successful these tactics will be.
Czuba emphasized that any poll conducted in Michigan must take into account the significant impact of Kennedy, who is a major player in the state. He pointed out that Kennedy is currently leading among Independents, a crucial voting bloc in Michigan that often decides the outcome of elections. With three candidates in the race, the Independent vote is now being divided, which complicates the electoral equation even further. Therefore, excluding Kennedy from any poll in Michigan would be a mistake, according to Czuba.
Speculation has arisen around Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer as a potential running mate for Harris, but the governor has made it clear that she will remain in her home state and will not be running. However, a recent study showed that a Harris-Whitmer combination could provide a slight advantage for Democrats, with a 3-point increase in a hypothetical general election match-up against President Trump and Republican Senator JD Vance of Ohio.
In July, Donald Trump was seen speaking at a campaign event held at the Trump National Doral Golf Club in Miami.
From 1972 to 1988, Michigan consistently voted Republican in every presidential election. However, a significant shift occurred, and the state voted Democrat for six consecutive presidential elections from 1992 to 2012.
In the 2016 presidential election, Trump emerged victorious in the battleground state against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, but in the subsequent cycle, he faced defeat against Biden.
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According to The Glengariff Group and WDIV-TV, their survey was carried out between July 22-24 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
